https://radiantintel.com/blog Global intelligence analysis on geopolitical risk, AI policy, and technology competition. en-us https://radiantintel.com/analysis/ai-chip-controls https://radiantintel.com/analysis/ai-chip-controls The controls imposed friction but did not produce the strategic outcome policymakers promised. Five findings explain why, and what should replace the current approach. Fri, 06 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/strait-of-hormuz-scenario https://radiantintel.com/analysis/strait-of-hormuz-scenario A computable general equilibrium model simulates how energy shocks in the Strait of Hormuz ripple through global supply chains and trading relationships. Sun, 01 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/leverage-and-ai https://radiantintel.com/analysis/leverage-and-ai Chip export controls have eroded American leverage. A strategy for weaponized interdependence. Wed, 17 Dec 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/americas-real-ai-advantage https://radiantintel.com/analysis/americas-real-ai-advantage American AI policy must end a myopic fixation with chips. Ecosystem dominance—controlling the rails—is the better goal for national power. Mon, 25 Aug 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/illusion-of-insight https://radiantintel.com/analysis/illusion-of-insight Why "Deep Research" models collapse under the weight of their own vagueness, and why enterprise users need structured insight, not summaries. Wed, 16 Apr 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/weaponized-interdependence https://radiantintel.com/analysis/weaponized-interdependence The more Washington tightens export controls, the more it eliminates the leverage it might brandish in a real crisis. A strategy for the semiconductor age. Thu, 03 Apr 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/introducing-radiant-intel https://radiantintel.com/analysis/introducing-radiant-intel An agentic artificial intelligence platform that brings you the expertise of a top-tier risk team. Reconnecting decision makers with the primary source. Tue, 04 Feb 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/deep-research-critique https://radiantintel.com/analysis/deep-research-critique It's great at processing language, but lacks the motivation, instinct, and persistence required for genuine intelligence work. Sat, 01 Feb 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/america-unleashed https://radiantintel.com/analysis/america-unleashed What does a world look like in which American power reigns supreme? Analyzing the potential shifts in a second Trump term. Wed, 29 Jan 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/the-empire-strikes-back https://radiantintel.com/analysis/the-empire-strikes-back Deepseek-1.5B proves that Chinese AI researchers have more ingenuity than US policymakers give them credit for. Smaller is sometimes smarter. Wed, 22 Jan 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/to-err-is-human https://radiantintel.com/analysis/to-err-is-human To really foul things up requires a communist dictatorship. The Chinese government has made significant errors in its handling of TikTok. Wed, 15 Jan 2025 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/strategic-misalignments https://radiantintel.com/analysis/strategic-misalignments Why U.S. export controls might be the single greatest policy tailwind for China's AI capability, and how to fix the strategy. Wed, 08 May 2024 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/uk-ai-summit-part-2 https://radiantintel.com/analysis/uk-ai-summit-part-2 A look at the initiatives participating countries have taken following the summit and critical AI governance questions that remain for the future. Thu, 07 Dec 2023 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/uk-ai-summit-part-1 https://radiantintel.com/analysis/uk-ai-summit-part-1 The UK AI Summit sought global consensus on frontier AI misuse. This commentary summarizes the summit discussion around each risk category. Mon, 20 Nov 2023 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/four-lessons-tech-regulation https://radiantintel.com/analysis/four-lessons-tech-regulation Entering the age of AI, there is much to gain in looking back at how technology decisions from the past shape current AI policymaking. Wed, 25 Oct 2023 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/us-ai-leadership https://radiantintel.com/analysis/us-ai-leadership The U.S. can no longer rely on trade incentives to attract partners. Instead, foreign policy should center on its dominant position in AI. Fri, 22 Sep 2023 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank https://radiantintel.com/analysis/managing-existential-risk https://radiantintel.com/analysis/managing-existential-risk Balancing innovation and risk in the AI landscape poses a challenge for policymakers as they aim to harness transformative benefits while mitigating extinction risks. Mon, 10 Jul 2023 00:00:00 GMT Michael Frank