Tariff Scenario Analysis
Quantify the impact of tariff policies on GDP, trade flows, and sector pricing — in seconds, not weeks. No economist required.
In 60 Seconds
- Run what-if tariff scenarios and get results in seconds — fast enough to react to a policy announcement before your next meeting.
- Results are delivered in plain English with executive-ready summaries. GDP impact, sector effects, and trade flow shifts explained in language your board can act on.
- Every projection includes confidence ranges, not just point estimates — so your risk committee sees the range of outcomes, not a false sense of precision.
- Connected to the rest of your Radiant Intel intelligence: when a tariff proposal surfaces in your regulatory monitoring, one click to model the economic impact.
1. The Client
Teams dealing with tariff uncertainty — trade strategy, supply chain, C-suite, policy and government affairs, and investment professionals who need to quantify the downstream effects of proposed tariff policies rather than rely on qualitative guesswork.
2. The Problem
3. How Radiant Helps
- Sub-second what-if exploration — adjust tariff rates, regions, and sectors and see results update instantly. No waiting days for a consultant to re-run a model.
- Plain-English interpretation — every scenario generates an executive summary explaining what the numbers mean for your business, not just raw tables.
- Built-in uncertainty quantification — confidence ranges on every projection so you know how much to trust the results.
- Pre-built scenario library covering the most-discussed tariff proposals — updated as proposals evolve.
- Custom scenario builder covering 36 regions and 36 sectors — model bespoke policy combinations including multi-directional retaliation.
- Full results dashboard with GDP impact, sector-level price and output changes, bilateral trade flow shifts, and welfare effects.
- Side-by-side scenario comparison to evaluate trade-offs between different policy paths.
- CSV export for integration with internal financial models and reporting workflows.
Outputs You Receive
FAQ
How is this different from hiring a trade economist?
Traditional trade modeling requires specialized software (GAMS, GEMPACK), expensive data licenses ($1,500–$10,000+), and consultants who know how to use them. A single analysis can take weeks and cost more than a year of Radiant Intel. Our platform delivers the same class of general equilibrium analysis — instantly, in plain English, with built-in uncertainty ranges — for a fraction of the cost.
How quickly are results generated?
Sub-second for interactive what-if exploration. Pre-built scenarios return full results instantly. Custom multi-region scenarios typically complete within seconds.
Can non-economists understand the results?
Yes — that's the point. Every scenario generates a plain-English executive summary alongside the quantitative dashboard. Results are designed for board presentations, not academic journals.
What does 'confidence ranges' mean?
Unlike traditional point estimates that imply false precision, our model runs Monte Carlo simulations to show the range of likely outcomes. Instead of 'GDP impact: -0.5%', you see 'GDP impact: -0.3% to -0.8% (90% confidence)'. Risk committees and boards can make better decisions with honest uncertainty.
Can I model retaliatory tariffs?
Yes. The custom scenario builder supports multi-directional tariff structures, so you can model a US tariff on Chinese goods alongside a Chinese retaliatory tariff on US agriculture in a single scenario.
What data powers the model?
The model is calibrated to OECD Inter-Country Input-Output tables — the same data foundation used by leading economic institutions. Covering 36 regions and 36 sectors, it captures how tariff changes propagate through interconnected trade flows, production networks, and consumption patterns.
Ready to upgrade your intelligence?
Start with a free trial or contact us for enterprise onboarding.